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OBJECTIVE: To compare previously used algorithms to identify anovulatory menstrual cycles in women self-reporting regular menses. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: Western New York. PATIENT(S): Two hundred fifty-nine healthy, regularly menstruating women followed for one (n=9) or two (n=250) menstrual cycles (2005-2007). INTERVENTION(S): None. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE(S): Prevalence of sporadic anovulatory cycles identified using 11 previously defined algorithms that use E2, P, and LH concentrations. RESULT(S): Algorithms based on serum LH, E2, and P levels detected a prevalence of anovulation across the study period of 5.5%-12.8% (concordant classification for 91.7%-97.4% of cycles). The prevalence of anovulatory cycles varied from 3.4% to 18.6% using algorithms based on urinary LH alone or with the primary E2 metabolite, estrone-3-glucuronide, levels. CONCLUSION(S): The prevalence of anovulatory cycles among healthy women varied by algorithm. Mid-cycle LH surge urine-based algorithms used in over-the-counter fertility monitors tended to classify a higher proportion of anovulatory cycles compared with luteal-phase P serum-based algorithms. Our study demonstrates that algorithms based on the LH surge, or in conjunction with estrone-3-glucuronide, potentially estimate a higher percentage of anovulatory episodes. Addition of measurements of postovulatory serum P or urine pregnanediol may aid in detecting ovulation.

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Assessment of anovulation in eumenorrheic women: comparison of ovulation detection algorithms.

Lynch KE et al., 2014

Lynch KE, Mumford SL, Schliep KC, Whitcomb BW, Zarek SM, Pollack AZ, Bertone-Johnson ER, Danaher M, Wactawski-Wende J, Gaskins AJ, Schisterman EF

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